Elections & pipelines

Electoral analysis and public data pipelines

Statistical and electoral modelling — Monte Carlo simulation, seat allocation, benchmarking — delivered with the uncertainty quantified, never hidden, on pipelines that ingest public data reproducibly.

Tell me the decision you need to defend See the full practice →

17+ yrs

In public policy, territorial analytics, and government data

250,000+

Administrative files integrated into analytical datasets

1,500+

Public institutions covered in data-collection frameworks

4,000+

Public institutions processed across several national methodologies

When to hire me

When to bring me in.

Headline polls are being read as certainties and you need a defensible probabilistic view.
Seat-allocation or turnout analysis has to survive methodological scrutiny.
Public electoral data needs a reproducible pipeline, not a one-off spreadsheet.

What you get

Built for the people who audit it.

What you get:

Honest probabilistic forecasts

A model reporting credible intervals, with the misses published alongside the hits.

A reproducible pipeline

Public electoral data ingested end to end, so every result traces back to source.

The rest of the practice.

Other things I do for donors, ministries, and public institutions:

Let's work together

Tell me the decision you need to defend.

Send me the decision, the deadline, the data sources, and the institutional context. I'll tell you where I can help — and what the data can, and can't, support.

contact@alexghita.eu

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